Global Energy Trends, 2018 edition. A step backward for the energy transition?

Every year, Enerdata leverages its globally recognized expertise and databases to produce its Global Energy Trends, an independent study of the past year’s energy market trends and resulting environmental impacts.

This analysis of G20 data, which accounts for 80% of the global energy demand, highlights key evolution of 2017 global markets.

2017 was defined by strengthened global economic growth (+3.7%), as well as by a rebound in CO₂ emissions (+2%) and energy consumption (+2.1%, twice as much as in 2016).

For more exclusive insight and detailed analysis by energy and country, you can download the publication on Enerdata's website. 

Tahiland's gas Conundrum , the latest enerdata analyst brief .

Thailand’s gas conundrum 

June 19^th, 2014

Natural gas has been dominating Thailand’s power mix for about three decades. While indigenous gas production in forecasted to deplete in the 2020’s decade, Thailand is relying more and more on gas imports, with a particular increase in LNG imports. Although natural gas offers a better carbon footprint than other fossil fuels, its cost has been rising as a consequence of the increasing share of LNG in the gas imports causing electricity prices rise.


Share of energies in Thailand’s power mix



Read the  Thailand's gas conundrum analyst briefs.

Exclusive Gas Foresight Report

Inside a flat gas demand in Europe, the contribution of the power sector will keep growing

In its latest World Energy Outlook, the International Energy Agency announced an upcoming golden age for natural gas with the strong growth of gas demand expected in the coming years, especially in Asia and with the development of shale gas resources.
But the picture varies by region; in Europe, while gas consumption increased over the last 20 years, it has been stagnating since 2005, limited by a sluggish economic growth and stringent regulations promoting energy efficiency. We have seen during the last 5 years a real re-definition of sectoral demand for gas, with growing inputs in the power sector. Between 2000 and 2011, 100 GW of gas-fired capacities were installed in Europe; this trend will certainly continue with the expected commissioning of 50 GW of additional gas-fired plants by 2020 in our central scenario (Balance). However, the current high competitiveness of gas plants is more and more under threat. A weakening of CO₂ policies in Europe would strengthen the position of coal as a fuel of choice in the power sector. In the same time, a strong commitment to a climate target would make necessary the development of very stringent energy efficiency policies and very strong CO₂ taxation that would therefore lower gas demand over the long-term.

Interested in our exclusive Gas Forecast Report report?

As gas promises to gain ground in Europe in the next couple of decades, our newly published report analyses the current environment as well as emerging issues and uncertainties about the pace at which this will happen, with focus on:

• Expected growth of gas demand in the power sector, compared to a flat trend in other sectors
• Booming LNG infrastructures easing access to natural gas at a competitive price and shifting the origin of gas imports
• Important opportunities for shale gas although geologically uncertain and subject to very contrasted legislations between member states

Our insightful analysis is based on outputs from the globally recognised POLES model.

> Read More

Turkey - Natural Gas

Discover the latest developments in the Turkey Energy Market, with focus on natural gas. 



Turkey expected the natural gas demand to rise to 85 bcm in 2015, and planned to greatly develop the electricity production capacity from gas. To supply that demand, the country signed many gas supply contracts. However, the 2001 economic crisis and the postponement of the price deregulation led to a much lower demand, and the country found itself in a situation of surplus supply (the signed contracts were ¼ higher than the country's demand). However, Turkey took advantage of that situation and of its geographical position as a strategic player for the supply of gas to Europe, and in recent years its domestic consumption has increased sufficiently for it to seek new supply contracts.

There are three contracts signed with Russia. Under a first contract, 6 bcm/year was to be supplied between 1987 and the end of 2012, although in mid-2011 Botas gave Gazprom notice that it was ending the contract due to pricing disagreements. Under a second contract, signed in 1999, 8 bcm/year will be supplied until 2021. A third contract, signed with the Blue Stream gas pipeline, provides for the supply of 16 bcm/year between 2009 and 2028 (initial supply of 2 bcm/year in 2003, gradually increased to the plateau volume).

Algeria supplies Turkey under a long-term contract of 4 bcm/year over a 20-year period that will be extended of 10 years to 2024; a first contract signed in 1988 for the supply of 2 bcm/year from 1994 was extended in 1995 for the delivery of an additional 2 bcm/year.

Iran supplies Turkey within a contract for total amount of 228 bcm over 23 years starting in January 2003, following the commissioning of the 325 km-long gas pipeline connecting Iran to Ankara.

Nigeria supplies Turkey within one contract, signed in 1995, for a supply of 1.2 bcm/year from 1999 over 22 years.

Since the completion of a gas pipeline connecting Azerbaijan (field of Shah Deniz) to Turkey via Georgia (Baku-Tbilissi-Erzurum) in April 2007, Azerbaijan has grown into a significant exporter to Turkey. The pipe's initial capacity was 2.2 bcm/year, and has reach 6 bcm/year up to now.

The gas pipeline connecting Greece to Turkey, which is part of the ITGI project, was commissioned in December 2007. The strategic purpose of this 296 km-long pipeline is to diversify the EU's supply sources by transporting gas from Caucasus countries to Europe. It has a capacity of 11.5 bcm/year. This gas pipeline cost Turkey approximately €250m and Greece between €30m and €40m. There are plans for an extension of this pipeline from Greece to Italy (IGI project). That subsea line, which will be 800 km long, will supply 8 bcm/year to Italy in 2015; this section is being developed by Depa and Edison.

Upcoming Oil & Gas Industry Event

OSEA Conference & Exhibition in Singapore

Enerdata, a global leader in energy research, solutions and forecasting models, will be holding a stand (Hall D, no. BG4-08) at the upcoming internal oil & gas industry event in Marina Bay Sands from the 27^th to the 30^th of November 2012.

The Offshore South East Asia Conference & Exhibition (OSEA 2012) saw over 25,000 attendees in 2010 alone and this year's promises to be just as popular. Use this opportunity to meet and greet industry professionals from more than 1000 companies worldwide. Attendance is free, you can pre-register here.

To make the most of your time there, book a meeting slot with Enerdata, to discuss how we support your oil & gas business and strategic planning. With 25 years of experience in the energy sector, Enerdata specialising in the analysis of market drivers, trends, players and assets as well as supply & demand forecasting (see Oil & Gas Perspectives Report). Enerdata will be present in Hall D, stand BG4-08.

It is with pleasure that we look forward to meeting you at our stand. Save the date!

Retrofitting of building

A cost-efficiency analysis

In 2010, the French Ministry of Research funded a three-year study to analyze possible solutions leading to a reduction in CO₂ emissions that could be feasibly implemented across a large city. This study sought to construct cost-effectiveness indicators in various sectors (building, transport, non-carbon energy production).Cost-effectiveness ratios measure the effort required to implement a solution and the impact in terms of CO₂ savings. The results for the buildings are summarized below.

Diagnosis of the housing stock in Grenoble

The housing stock in Grenoble can be depicted in 40 segments; 5 construction ages x 4 technologies used in heating apartments and identical for single houses. The energy consumption and CO₂ emissions for each segment were estimated for 2010 and summarized in the table below.

Energy consumption and CO₂ emissions
for space heating in Grenoble in 2010

Source: Enerdata

A great deal of heterogeneity exists within the building stock. For example, individual houses consume significantly more energy than apartments. Similarly, housing built before 1974 accounts for 65% of the total area but 82% of CO₂ emissions.

Three strategies to reduce CO₂ emissions in space heating

There are three ways to reduce CO2 emissions in space heating: insulation, upgrading heating equipment and the reduction of CO₂ content of electricity and district heating.

Insulating the building is the solution that comes first to mind. This work includes the insulation of facades, roofs, floors and the replacement of old windows with new less emitting ones. The impact of renovation operations differs from one situation to another. The insulation of old buildings obviously generates more CO₂ savings than an operation undertaken on a more recent construction submitted to insulation standards when built.

The second solution is to consider upgrading the heating systems. The installation of a modern boiler can save about 25% in energy consumption - and therefore CO₂ - against the initial boiler. When considering this replacement, it may be appropriate to plan an energy switch. For example, it could make sense to replace a collective gas boiler with district heating or to replace individual gas boilers with heat pumps.

The third solution consists of a CO₂ content reduction of electricity and district heating. In terms of district heating, the heat can be produced from coal, gas, municipal waste, biomass, etc. Increasing the share of biomass aids in the reducing CO₂ content of this energy carrier. For electricity, it is also possible to influence the relative share of energy inputs and thus promote non-carbon electricity. In most developed countries, the CO₂ content of electricity is between 400 and 500 grams per kWh. France this figure is much less (80 gCO₂/kWh) because of the importance of nuclear. In Switzerland and Finland, it is even lower and electricity is almost carbon free. For the last 30 years, the CO₂ content of electricity has declined in many developed countries. But past trends do not necessarily reflect those of the future and making accurate predictions on this subject is a notoriously difficult exercise.

Read the entire article

Enerdata at Conferences

Take a glimpse at Enerdata's presence at recent conferences around the globe including the EU-US Summit on Science, Technology, Innovation and Sustainable Economic Growth in Washington.